Category Archive: Military

Nov 29

Wikileaks: North Korea provided advanced missiles to Iran

BM25

The latest release from Wikileaks depicts over 200,000 diplomatic cables of intelligence gathering from various US embassies. Of particular interest, a cable dated February 24th 2010 revealed the transfer of 19 ballistic missiles from North Korea to Iran. The missile, the BM-25. is a modified Russian design capable of hitting targets 3200km away and has the potential to be armed with a nuclear warhead. It is believed that neither country is able at present time to construct a warhead small enough to arm a missile. You might recall the BM-25 being driven around during the 65th anniversary celebration parade of the Korean Worker’s Party.

Other interesting details from a separate Feb 22nd Wikileaks release are the revelation of political dissent in the form of a bomb on a train from Pyongyang to Beijing. There are also discussions of a “Cash for Corpses” arrangement for the US to retrieve the remains of MIA soldiers from the Korean War in exchange for money to the DPRK. Posted below is the full text of the Feb 22nd leak for posterity.

Monday, 22 February 2010, 08:54
C O N F I D E N T I A L SEOUL 000290
SIPDIS
EO 12958 DECL: 02/23/2030
TAGS PREL, PGOV, SOCI, MARR, ECON, ETRD, KN, KS, CH
SUBJECT: A/S CAMPBELL’S FEBRUARY 3 MEETING WITH NSA KIM
Classified By: Ambassador D. Kathleen Stephens. Reasons 1.4 (b/d).

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1. (C) During a February 3 meeting, National Security Adviser Kim Sung-hwan told EAP Assistant Secretary Campbell the ROKG wished to have discussions with Washington about delaying the planned transfer of wartime operation control to Korea. Kim agreed that turbulence in Sino-American relations meant Beijing would be hesitant to call a new round of the Six Party Talks. It was encouraging, however, that veteran DPRK negotiator Kim Gye-gwan was slated to visit Beijing next week. NSA Kim asserted that Kim Jong-il needed to visit China soon in order to get more economic assistance, as the DPRK’s internal situation appeared to be significantly more unstable. NSA Kim acknowledged it was important to reach out directly to key DPJ officials like Foreign Minister Okada and Finance Minister Kan. The North Koreans, Kim said, were clearly using several different channels to “knock on the DPJ’s door.” President Lee may visit a Korean factory in the United States to help sell KORUS to the American public. Kim suggested that President Obama and President Lee pay a joint visit to the Korean War Memorial in Washington to commemorate the 60th anniversary of the Korean War. Campbell asked for ROK understanding for U.S. plans to resume MIA remains recovery operations in North Korea. Kim emphasized that President Lee would never “buy” a summit with Pyongyang. End summary.

OPCON Transfer

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2. (C) During a February 3 meeting with Assistant Secretary for East Asian and Pacific Affairs Kurt Campbell, ROK National Security Adviser Kim Sung-hwan said he wished to have discussions with the USG on the planned April 2012 transfer of wartime operation control (OPCON) to Korea. Kim agreed with Campbell’s observation that it was important for the Korean public to understand that any change that may be considered concerning OPCON transfer timing, and the U.S. Quadrennial Defense Review, would not diminish America’s commitment to the ROK’s security, and should not be so interpreted. China Unlikely to Call New 6PT Round

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3. (C) NSA Kim agreed with Campbell’s observation that the current turbulence in Sino-American relations meant Beijing would be hesitant to call a new round of the Six Party Talks (6PT) anytime soon. Referring to POTUS’ upcoming meeting with the Dalai Lama, Kim said the Chinese were “far too sensitive” about the Tibetan spiritual leader’s meetings with foreign officials. A few years ago, Kim related, the PRC had crudely pressured the ROK government into canceling a planned speech by the Dalai Lama at a Buddhist conference on Cheju Island.

4. (C) NSA Kim said he was encouraged by reports that veteran DPRK negotiator Kim Gye-gwan was slated to visit Beijing next week at the invitation of Chinese 6PT chief Wu Dawei. NSA Kim said he understood Kim Gye-gwan might also visit New York. Campbell noted it was important for the DPRK authorities to hear from the Five Parties that Pyongyang’s attempt to shift the focus from denuclearization to a peace treaty was not working.

KJI China Trip and Deteriorating Conditions Inside DPRK

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5. (C) NSA Kim asserted that North Korean leader Kim Jong-il needed to visit China soon in order to get more economic assistance. The PRC was in the process of delivering a portion of the food aid promised during Premier Wen’s visit to the DPRK last fall; approximately 6,000 metric tons (MT) of rice and 20,000 MT of soybeans has been delivered, but the DPRK needed a lot more. The situation inside North Korea, he added, appeared increasingly unstable. The North’s currency replacement had created strong resentment throughout DPRK society, Kim said, adding that DPRK Finance Chief Pak Nam-gi had apparently been sacked. Kim asserted there were credible reports of unrest in the North; according to ROK intelligence sources, DPRK police recently found a bomb on a passenger train en route from Pyongyang to Beijing.

U.S.-Japan Relations

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6. (C) Kim concurred with Campbell’s assessment that the DPJ

was “completely different” from the LDP and agreed it was important for the DJP to coordinate with Seoul and Washington as it made preliminary overtures to Pyongyang. The North Koreans, Kim said, were clearly using several different channels to “knock on the DPJ’s door.” Kim acknowledged Campbell’s point that it was important to reach out directly to key DPJ officials like Foreign Minister Okada and Finance Minister Naoto Kan.

FTA Prospects

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7. (C) It was the ROK government’s view, Kim said, that there might be a window of opportunity to pass KORUS immediately after the U.S. Congressional elections this fall. Kim added that the ROK Embassy in Washington was working on a possible FTA event for President Lee during his upcoming trip to the United States for the nuclear summit. One idea, Kim explained, was to have President Lee visit a Korean factory to help underscore to the American public that the FTA was about creating jobs in America as well in Korea. Campbell praised ROK Ambassador Han Duck-soo for his public outreach on KORUS and noted that the U.S. business community needed to “stop being lazy” and help get KORUS through Congress.

Korean War Memorial Visit

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8. (C) NSA Kim asked if, during the April nuclear summit in Washington, it would be possible to have POTUS and President Lee pay a joint visit to the Korean War Memorial. Campbell acknowledged the powerful symbolism for both the Korean and American audience of such a visit during the 60th anniversary of the Korean War, but cautioned that it would be extremely difficult to arrange during the nuclear summit.

MIA Remains Recovery in North Korea

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9. (C) Campbell asked for ROK understanding about the U.S. position on resuming MIA remains recovery operations in North Korea. The USG felt strongly, Campbell explained, that this was an important humanitarian issue. Campbell stressed that the U.S. would coordinate closely with the ROK on the issue to “avoid sending the wrong signal” to the DPRK. Pressed by Kim about paying the North Koreans cash to help recover U.S. remains, Campbell agreed it was distasteful; he noted, however, that the United States had made similar payments to the Burmese and Vietnamese governments to facilitate cooperation on MIA issues.

Prospects for a North-South Summit

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10. (C) On prospects for a North-South summit, NSA Kim clarified remarks that President Lee made in an interview with the BBC in Davos. Kim said that, beginning last fall, the ROK has had contact with the DPRK about a summit. The North, however, has demanded that Seoul provide a certain amount of economic aid prior to any summit. That precondition was unacceptable, Kim stressed, noting that the Blue House had emphasized to the ROK press this week that President Lee would never “buy” a summit with the North. STEPHENS

 

Source: New York Times / The Guardian

Permanent link to this article: http://www.openingupnorthkorea.com/archives/684

Nov 26

Yeonpyeong assault aftermath and news roundup

yeonpyeong_destruction

The dust has settled and the world can view the sudden assault on South Korea’s Yeonpyeong Island from North Korea with clearer eyes. The final casualty toll of the attacks are 2 soldiers and 2 construction workers dead, and at least 18 injured. Most of the 1200 civilians living on the island, of whom fishing is their primary trade, have been evacuated by the government.

While tensions remain high, and the South Korean military on high alert, it seems unlikely that North Korea will attempt another such attack anytime soon. Despite belligerent announcements from the state that the peninsula is on the brink of an all-out war, the artillery assault on the island seems little more than a move to bolster support for fledgling leader-to-be Kim Jong-Un, and as justification for the military-above-all-else policies of the KWP.

Reactions from South Koreans have been mixed. Many are critical of the government’s response and demanding fierce retaliation. Others fear an escalation of tensions may lead to all out war between the Koreas. South Korea’s won has fallen sharply since the attack over fears from foreign investment that a war may be looming. The government appears to be dancing around the issue in order to maintain economic stability. South Korea is presently the 14th largest economy in the world. The South Korean government has cancelled all planned food, medical and construction aid to the North.

North Korea has responded to the attacks blaming South Korean military exercises for “provoking” them. The South responded immediately to the attacks with their own volley of artillery fire, but state media is not reporting on the extent of damages, though it is believed to largely outnumber the damage done to Yeonpyeong. Most foreign countries have condemned the North Korean attack, especially South Korea’s strongest ally, the US. The Obama administration has once again pledged to protect and defend South Korea if all-out war should break out. China, as usual, has remained more-or-less mum on the issue, choosing only to protest the planned war exercises between US and South Korean militaries.

B.R. Myers, esteemed author of The Cleanest Race and holding a PhD in North Korean literature, spoke to NPR regarding the recent attack. He points out that this is the first time since the Korean War cease-fire that the North has fired upon a civilian population with artillery shells. He notes that although this is probably the most serious incident between the Koreas since the 1950-1953 war, South Korean civilian reaction is fairly tame. They have grown up to be accustomed to these sorts of provocations, so for many it is business as usual. Russia has condemned the attacks as well and has called for calm on the peninsula.

soyasaucetour

More artillery fire has been heard on the Northern side, possibly due to training and targeting practice. Kim Jong-Il and son have allegedly visited the site where the artillery weapons were fired from (picture above is the duo touring a soya sauce factory days earlier) The US and South Korean militaries will begin military exercises on Sunday, which often leads to further saber-rattling from the North. Let’s see what the weekend has in store…

Source: Yahoo! News via AFP / KCNA / NPR / Reuters

Permanent link to this article: http://www.openingupnorthkorea.com/archives/668

Nov 23

KPA Journal finds an online home

KPA Journal, the publication begun in January 2010 by DPRK military analyst and expert Joseph Bermudez, has found a permanent website to release his widely respected PDFs from. Prior to now, PDFs circulated about the internet through forums and web blogs, but now you can download the current issue as well as back issues from www.kpajournal.com.

Source: North Korea Leadership Watch

Permanent link to this article: http://www.openingupnorthkorea.com/archives/636

Nov 23

DPRK fires artillery shells at South, killing 1 and injuring 13

yangbeyon map

A salvo of 50 artillery shells were fired at Yeongpyong, island village in South Korea that is uncomfortably close to North Korea on the East. The shells killed 1 marine and injured 13 others, and shots were quickly returned by the South. The South Korean military is at is highest alert. More shots were exchanged on either side sporadically for about an hour. 10 houses were set ablaze as a result of the North’s shelling.

State run news North Korean news outlet KCNA is reporting that the South Korea fired first, which is most certainly a farce. Later in their report they also claimed that these types of attacks will continue if South Korea does not stop violating maritime borders. (Thanks W7VOA via Twitter, for the live updates).

The attacks come mere days after the discovery that North Korea has ramped up efforts for nuclear weapons proliferations by starting construction of a light water nuclear reactor. This is habitual of North Korea to provoke the South and the USA during times of increased tensions as a method to return to 6 Party Talks. 6 Party Talks (China, SK, NK, Japan, USA and Russia) historically have ended up benefitting the North in the form of food and construction aid, while they give basically nothing up in return. This type of attack will likely be used to bolster support for incumbent leader Kim Jong-Un by strengthening his grip on the “military first” policies created by his father.

BBC has some photos of the destruction for your perusal. This is the biggest land based provocation from the DPRK in quite some time, however Yeonpyeong has been the site of naval battles between the divided countries in 1999 and 2002, due to the close proximity of the Northern Limit Line.

Source: Yahoo! News via AFP / BBC News

Permanent link to this article: http://www.openingupnorthkorea.com/archives/630

Nov 18

Hankyoreh documentary questions Cheonan investigation

cheonan_simThe Hankyoreh, a South Korean independent newspaper, has released a documentary questioning the evidence surrounding the March 26 2010 sinking of the Cheonan warship. The South Korean led international investigation team implicated a North Korean submarine torpedo attack, and the North has vehemently denied the allegation, often causing a breakdown in discussions on other inter-Korean issues.

The documentary, which is about half an hour long, raises some interesting concerns over the investigation into the sinking. Questions over the size and energy of the water column created by the blast, bent propellers and fishing line that seem to indicate the ship might have run aground, eye witness testimonies claiming the incident happened much closer to shore than reported, conflicting Russian reports, and inconsistent timestamps on CCTV footage aboard the warship all raise the issue that the investigation should be reopened and studied from more angles than a North Korean torpedo attack. The video does not openly allege that North Korea did not sink the ship, nor does it claim a grand conspiracy theory between SK and US governments. Rather, an appeal is made to initiate a new, independent and transparent investigation into the tragedy.

You can watch the entire documentary in 720p via HaniTV on Youtube.

Source: The Hankyoreh

Permanent link to this article: http://www.openingupnorthkorea.com/archives/627

Nov 17

Kim Jong-Un purging “lazy” officials

jong_un_cool_parka

Flexing his newfound power muscles, Kim Jong-Un has allegedly been purging lax officials from the military, according to a North Korean defectors’ group. Sources from the North have reported that officials who have been turning a blind eye to defections and smuggling have been cracked down upon by the heir-apparent to the North Korea dynasty. A total of 15 “heavyweight” officials have been purged thus far. If true, the move can be seen as a sign that the younger Kim will use fear as a tactic to gain loyalty from officials in order to secure a smooth transition to power in the future.

Source: Yahoo! News via AFP

Permanent link to this article: http://www.openingupnorthkorea.com/archives/620

Oct 29

North Korea fires across border at South Korean guard post

Soldiers from the North Korean side of the DMZ fired two shots at a South Korean guardpost on the other side of the border. South Korean soldiers responded with three machine gun shots. No injuries were reported. While not uncommon for gun skirmishes to break out along the heavily fortified demilitarized zone, this incident occurs just ahead of the G20 summit in Seoul, an event that has many keeping one eye on the DPRK’s behaviour. The incident occurred in Hwacheon, approximately 120km north-east of Seoul.

Source: Yahoo! News via AFP

Permanent link to this article: http://www.openingupnorthkorea.com/archives/571

Oct 20

Is North Korea preparing another nuclear test?

The Chosun Ilbo reports that a US spy satellite is detecting “brisk” movement at the North Hamgyong sites where previous nuclear tests have been executed. It is suggested that it will still take another three months before the area would be ready for another nuclear test. An anonymous South Korean defence ministry official, however, stated that activity at the site has always been constantly active. A nuclear test now would certainly undermine recent North Korean efforts to restart Six Party Talks aimed at denuclearizing the Korean peninsula.

Source: Yahoo! News via AFP | The Chosun Ilbo

Permanent link to this article: http://www.openingupnorthkorea.com/archives/548

Oct 20

Repeated naval trespasses since Cheonan sinking

Data from the South Korean navy suggest that North Korean vessels have trespassed into South Korean waters over 50 times since the March 2010 sinking of the Cheonan corvette. The invasions were consistently 7-9 times each month between May and October. Over a 5 year period, North Korea has trespassed over 200 times over the Northern Limit Line, the line separating waters between North and South Korea. The North has never accepted the location of the NLL, and insists it be moved further south.

Source: Asian News Network

Permanent link to this article: http://www.openingupnorthkorea.com/archives/543

Oct 11

Massive military parade held for North Korean leaders

In a huge publicity campaign for the newly annointed heir to the North Korean dynasty, a massive military parade was held in Kim Il-Sung Square in front of dozens of foreign journalists. (See: Louisa Lim’s and Melissa Chan’s Twitter feeds for liveblogging of two journalists suddenly invited to Pyongyang with many others to cover the events. The journalists were offered internet access at their hotel, and often neglected to follow many around the premises, contrary to past procedures as a visitor to the DPRK. Favourite tweet: “melissakchan: Asked one North Korean when he first heard of Kim Jong-un. He said about a year ago.”

Video of the parade including views of a weak (and mole-faced) Kim Jong-Il and heir Kim Jong-Un here:

Source: Images from AP and Reuters respectively, video from NOS.nl

Permanent link to this article: http://www.openingupnorthkorea.com/archives/490

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